BirdAnalyst
Species · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Anna's Hummingbird Population Analysis

TrochilidaeForest birdsCalypte anna

Anna's Hummingbird has surged: up 216% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+216%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
296RoutesSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57Years SurveyedYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

About the Anna's Hummingbird

The Anna's Hummingbird (Calypte anna) is a North American member of the Hummingbirds (Trochilidae). In this analysis it is grouped with the forest birds.

Size
3–5 in long (8–13 cm) — a tiny hovering bird (typical for the family)
Habitat
Woodlands and forest edges, including wooded suburbs and parks.
Diet
Insects and spiders gleaned from foliage and bark, with seeds and berries in season.
Range
Recorded on 296 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 6 states, most concentrated in the Coastal California.
Family
Trochilidae · Forest birds

Notable Anna's Hummingbird TrendsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Anna's Hummingbird. See the full index history below.

Anna's Hummingbird Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Anna's Hummingbird is projected to rise about 16% by 2030 — from 0.09 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.11 (95% range 0.06–0.15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+16%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.11Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.06–0.1595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±14.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Anna's Hummingbird is projected to rise about 16% by 2030 — from 0.09 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.11 (95% range 0.06–0.15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.110.060.15
20270.110.060.15
20280.110.060.15
20290.110.060.15
20300.110.060.15

Where the Anna's Hummingbird Is Detected

BBS routes recording Anna's Hummingbird, sized by most recent count.

Anna's Hummingbird Population Trend by State

Anna's Hummingbird population trend by state.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Alaskainsufficient datan/a1
Arizona+80%198232
California+137%1970206
Nevadainsufficient datan/a2
Oregon+113%199133
Washington11×200822

Anna's Hummingbird Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

Anna's Hummingbird population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →Baseline yearThe first year of the smoothed window the trend is measured from. An earlier baseline means a longer record stands behind the number.Full methodology →Survey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
Northern Pacific Rainforest+190%197181
Great Basin+8%198421
Sierra Nevada+13%197332
Coastal California+187%1970116
Sonoran and Mojave Deserts-40%197332
Sierra Madre Occidental-34%198311

Anna's Hummingbird Conservation Status

Our route-weighted index shows it up about 216% since 1970.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.