Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Coot Population Trend in New Mexico
American Coot in New Mexico has collapsed: down 79% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
-79%Since 1974
22Routes In State
42Years
Notable American Coot Trends in New Mexico
long arc declinecomputed index
American Coot has collapsed in New Mexico: down 79% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
American Coot Population Forecast in New Mexico
If the recent trend holds, American Coot in New Mexico is projected to rise about 235% by 2029 — from 0.20 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.66 (95% range 0.00–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1146.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+235%Change by 2029
0.66Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.595% range
±1146.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 0.64 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2027 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2028 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 0.66 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
American Coot Survey Routes in New Mexico
| Maxwell | 40 | 2017 | 1997 |
| Wagon Mound | 10 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Dulce | 7 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Grenville | 3 | 1979 | 1977 |
| Valencia | 3 | 1989 | 1989 |
| Angel Fire | 3 | 2002 | 1992 |
| Capulin | 2 | 1994 | 1993 |
| Crownpoint | 2 | 1990 | 1970 |
| San Antonio | 2 | 1975 | 1974 |
| La Plata 2 | 2 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Pastura | 2 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Laborcita | 2 | 2017 | 1993 |
| Red Rock | 2 | 1995 | 1992 |
| Farmington | 1 | 1980 | 1975 |
| Cooley Lake | 1 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Angel Fire 2 | 1 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Cloudcroft | 1 | 1993 | 1982 |
| Shiprock | 1 | 2018 | 1996 |
| Stinking Lk. | 1 | 1998 | 1992 |
| Mesilla | 1 | 1999 | 1998 |
| Bluewater Lake | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Logan | 1 | 1994 | 1994 |
American Coot Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.