BirdAnalyst
Guild · Rhode Island · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Forest Birds In Rhode Island

All statesRhode Island

32 species in this guild. As a group they are +83%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1968.

Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for forest birds in Rhode Island. See the full index history below.

Forest Birds In Rhode Island Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Rhode Island is projected to rise about 85% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 4.7–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±105.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+85%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.7–3295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±105.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Rhode Island is projected to rise about 85% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 19 (95% range 4.7–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±105.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025184.032
2026184.232
2027184.332
2028184.532
2029194.732

Member Species In Rhode Island

Forest birds species in Rhode Island.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
Canada WarblerParulidae-77%
Black-throated Green WarblerParulidae-69%
White-eyed VireoVireonidae-63%
Chestnut-sided WarblerParulidae-63%
Prairie WarblerParulidae-62%
Wood ThrushTurdidae-43%
Blue-headed VireoVireonidae-33%
Common YellowthroatParulidae-1%
Hermit ThrushTurdidae+0%
VeeryTurdidae+15%
Black-and-white WarblerParulidae+36%
Blue-winged WarblerParulidae+56%
Northern WaterthrushParulidae+71%
Black-capped ChickadeeParidae+82%
Northern House WrenTroglodytidae+101%
American RobinTurdidae+123%
Red-eyed VireoVireonidae+163%
Yellow-throated VireoVireonidae+206%
American RedstartParulidae+219%
Hairy WoodpeckerPicidae+222%
Worm-eating WarblerParulidae+233%
Yellow WarblerParulidae+344%
OvenbirdParulidae+347%
Downy WoodpeckerPicidae+361%
Eastern BluebirdTurdidae+367%
Warbling VireoVireonidae+390%
Pine WarblerParulidae+489%
Blue-gray GnatcatcherPolioptilidae+564%
White-breasted NuthatchSittidae+579%
Red-bellied WoodpeckerPicidae+953%
Carolina WrenTroglodytidae24×
Tufted TitmouseParidae35×

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.