Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-throated Warbler In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Yellow-throated Warbler in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1972.

14×Since 1972
83Routes In Region
53Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow-throated Warbler has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1972.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 39% by 2029 — from 0.16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.10 (95% range 0.05–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-39%Change by 2029
0.10Projected 2029 index
0.050.1495% range
±40.1%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.090.050.14
20260.090.050.14
20270.100.050.14
20280.100.050.14
20290.100.050.14

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Yellow-throated Warbler in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
BelleviewILLINOIS42024
WallaceINDIANA42024
JamestownILLINOIS31983
St MorganILLINOIS32022
Witts StationINDIANA32024
Ash RidgeOHIO32021
AthensvilleILLINOIS21992
MonticelloINDIANA22024
GalvestonINDIANA22022
SextonINDIANA22024
ShelbyvilleINDIANA22021
MaplewoodINDIANA22021
OhioMISSOURI22007
TrentonMISSOURI21975
GeraldMISSOURI22024
House SpringsMISSOURI22022
MoselleMISSOURI22024
MarionOHIO22022
AshleyOHIO22018
SheffieldILLINOIS11989
NewarkILLINOIS12022
StillwellILLINOIS12001
DaileyILLINOIS11995
MartinsvilleILLINOIS11990
ColumbiaILLINOIS12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.