Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-throated Warbler In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
Yellow-throated Warbler in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1972.
14×Since 1972
83Routes In Region
53Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Yellow-throated Warbler has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 14× on the route-weighted index since 1972.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 39% by 2029 — from 0.16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.10 (95% range 0.05–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-39%Change by 2029
0.10Projected 2029 index
0.05–0.1495% range
±40.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| 2026 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| 2027 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| 2028 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| 2029 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.14 |
Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
| Belleview | ILLINOIS | 4 | 2024 |
| Wallace | INDIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Jamestown | ILLINOIS | 3 | 1983 |
| St Morgan | ILLINOIS | 3 | 2022 |
| Witts Station | INDIANA | 3 | 2024 |
| Ash Ridge | OHIO | 3 | 2021 |
| Athensville | ILLINOIS | 2 | 1992 |
| Monticello | INDIANA | 2 | 2024 |
| Galveston | INDIANA | 2 | 2022 |
| Sexton | INDIANA | 2 | 2024 |
| Shelbyville | INDIANA | 2 | 2021 |
| Maplewood | INDIANA | 2 | 2021 |
| Ohio | MISSOURI | 2 | 2007 |
| Trenton | MISSOURI | 2 | 1975 |
| Gerald | MISSOURI | 2 | 2024 |
| House Springs | MISSOURI | 2 | 2022 |
| Moselle | MISSOURI | 2 | 2024 |
| Marion | OHIO | 2 | 2022 |
| Ashley | OHIO | 2 | 2018 |
| Sheffield | ILLINOIS | 1 | 1989 |
| Newark | ILLINOIS | 1 | 2022 |
| Stillwell | ILLINOIS | 1 | 2001 |
| Dailey | ILLINOIS | 1 | 1995 |
| Martinsville | ILLINOIS | 1 | 1990 |
| Columbia | ILLINOIS | 1 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.