Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-throated Warbler In Oaks and Prairies
Yellow-throated Warbler in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 360% on the route-weighted index since 1992.
+360%Since 1992
15Routes In Region
22Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Yellow-throated Warbler has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 360% on the route-weighted index since 1992.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Warbler in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.11 (95% range 0.05–0.16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.7%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-16%Change by 2029
0.11Projected 2029 index
0.05–0.1695% range
±38.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.10 | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| 2026 | 0.10 | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| 2027 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| 2028 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| 2029 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 0.16 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Hearne | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Wills Point | TEXAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Decatur | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Holdenville | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2022 |
| Noble | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2024 |
| Bartlesville | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2010 |
| Heyburn | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2024 |
| Muldoon | TEXAS | 1 | 2022 |
| Gause | TEXAS | 1 | 1994 |
| Massey Lake | TEXAS | 1 | 2013 |
| Lydia | TEXAS | 1 | 2022 |
| Dike | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
| Cayuga | TEXAS | 1 | 2006 |
| Carlos | TEXAS | 1 | 2012 |
| Bonner | TEXAS | 1 | 2012 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.