BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-throated Vireo In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 705% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

+705%Since 1976TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
25Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
37YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Yellow-throated Vireo in Oaks and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Yellow-throated Vireo In Oaks and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 42% by 2030 — from 0.35 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.20 (95% range 0.07–0.34). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±64.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-42%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.20Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.07–0.3495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±64.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 42% by 2030 — from 0.35 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.20 (95% range 0.07–0.34). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±64.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.190.050.33
20270.190.060.33
20280.200.060.33
20290.200.060.34
20300.200.070.34

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in Oaks and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CayugaTEXAS42025
DecaturTEXAS42017
HeyburnOKLAHOMA32025
Massey LakeTEXAS32025
Oak Grove 2TEXAS32025
Thornton 2TEXAS32010
Oak GroveTEXAS21986
CarlosTEXAS22025
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA11999
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA12022
NobleOKLAHOMA12024
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA12007
TatumsOKLAHOMA12022
MuldoonTEXAS11986
Lone OakTEXAS11968
GauseTEXAS11997
OlaTEXAS11988
LydiaTEXAS12014
HearneTEXAS12024
YoakumTEXAS12001
BrucevilleTEXAS12000
Wills PointTEXAS12012
Gambill Ref.TEXAS12024
PaigeTEXAS12025
ComancheTEXAS12025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.