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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-throated Vireo In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 978% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+978%Since 1971TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
50YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Yellow-throated Vireo has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 978% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.72–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.3%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-21%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.4Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.72–2.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±37.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.72–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.3%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.30.622.0
20261.40.652.1
20271.40.672.1
20281.40.692.1
20291.40.722.1

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
RockspringTEXAS82024
Dripping SpgTEXAS52024
BoerneTEXAS42024
UtopiaTEXAS22024
Valley SpgsTEXAS22024
HarperTEXAS22024
AdamsvilleTEXAS22023
LeakeyTEXAS22024
MontellTEXAS22024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS22023
FitzhughTEXAS11981
San SabaTEXAS12024
KempnerTEXAS11999
Indian MtnTEXAS12023
Pidcoke 2TEXAS12023
Allen CreekTEXAS12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.