BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Yellow-throated Vireo In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauForest birds

Yellow-throated Vireo in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 861% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+861%Since 1971TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
51YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Yellow-throated Vireo has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 861% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Yellow-throated Vireo In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 26% by 2030 — from 2.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.79–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-26%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.5Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.79–2.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±41.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-throated Vireo in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 26% by 2030 — from 2.1 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.79–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.40.682.1
20271.40.712.2
20281.50.732.2
20291.50.762.2
20301.50.792.2

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Yellow-throated Vireo in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
MontellTEXAS82025
Dripping SpgTEXAS52025
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS52025
LeakeyTEXAS42025
RockspringTEXAS32025
HarperTEXAS22024
San SabaTEXAS22025
AdamsvilleTEXAS22023
Allen CreekTEXAS22025
BoerneTEXAS12025
UtopiaTEXAS12025
FitzhughTEXAS11981
Valley SpgsTEXAS12025
KempnerTEXAS11999
Indian MtnTEXAS12025
Pidcoke 2TEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.