BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat In Great Basin

All regionsGreat BasinGeneralists

Yellow-breasted Chat in Great Basin has surged: up 186% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+186%Since 1970
106Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow-breasted Chat has surged in Great Basin: up 186% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Great Basin is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.3 (95% range 0.88–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2029
1.3Projected 2029 index
0.88–1.695% range
±21.7%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.20.811.6
20261.20.831.6
20271.20.841.6
20281.20.861.6
20291.30.881.6

Routes In Great Basin

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Great Basin.
GiffordIDAHO292017
Magic MtnIDAHO292024
Meadow VallyNEVADA232024
ImnahaOREGON222024
YakimaWASHINGTON202024
Lake ChelanWASHINGTON202024
PendletonOREGON182024
JoelIDAHO172024
NighthawkWASHINGTON142024
Fish LakeOREGON132024
EllensburgWASHINGTON132024
Humboldt Nf 2NEVADA92024
Ruby Valley 2NEVADA82024
Three ForksOREGON82021
Iron GateCALIFORNIA72019
TwispWASHINGTON72024
Virgin CreekNEVADA62018
LynnUTAH62023
WillisNEVADA52024
BakerIDAHO42024
Jericho JunctionUTAH42024
NewcastleUTAH42022
WaitsburgWASHINGTON42004
LeadoreIDAHO32024
PocatelloIDAHO32019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.