BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertGeneralists

Yellow-breasted Chat in Chihuahuan Desert has surged: up 706% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+706%Since 1969
39Routes In Region
55Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow-breasted Chat has surged in Chihuahuan Desert: up 706% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.5 (95% range 3.2–5.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+4%Change by 2029
4.5Projected 2029 index
3.2–5.795% range
±20.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.22.95.4
20264.23.05.5
20274.33.15.6
20284.43.15.7
20294.53.25.7

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Chihuahuan Desert.
Quitman Cyn.TEXAS672009
Laborcita 2NEW-MEXICO432024
LaborcitaNEW-MEXICO312019
Red RockNEW-MEXICO202024
Devils R CynTEXAS152024
OzonaTEXAS132022
EscondidaNEW-MEXICO112024
LongfellowTEXAS102024
Dove Mtn.TEXAS72006
PumpvilleTEXAS72024
Coyanda DrawTEXAS62024
Quitman Canyon 2TEXAS62024
San AntonioNEW-MEXICO41977
PresidioTEXAS42023
ComstockTEXAS32023
LangtryTEXAS32000
Sierra BlancTEXAS32024
JornadaNEW-MEXICO21989
Bitter LakeNEW-MEXICO22015
MesillaNEW-MEXICO22000
QueenNEW-MEXICO22016
AltudaTEXAS22016
Casa PiedraTEXAS22023
MarathonTEXAS22023
RodeoNEW-MEXICO12015

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.