BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastGeneralists

Yellow-breasted Chat in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-65%Since 1968
95Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Yellow-breasted Chat has fallen sharply in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.36–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
0.36–2.795% range
±16.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.60.432.8
20261.60.412.8
20271.60.392.8
20281.60.382.7
20291.50.362.7

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
TruhartVIRGINIA402024
WalkersVIRGINIA112023
QuinbyVIRGINIA92024
BlackbirdDELAWARE82024
Pt RepublicMARYLAND61989
La PlataMARYLAND62009
HolleyvilleDELAWARE52004
MillsboroDELAWARE52017
PepperboxDELAWARE52016
Milton 2DELAWARE52017
CheltenhamMARYLAND52004
Forest GroveMARYLAND52023
Port RoyalVIRGINIA52019
SharpsVIRGINIA52024
SinepuxentMARYLAND41978
White StoneVIRGINIA42024
Cape CharlesVIRGINIA42015
Long HillCONNECTICUT31974
HarringtonDELAWARE32024
Holleyville 2DELAWARE32024
GeorgetownDELAWARE32022
JonesMARYLAND31992
CokesburyMARYLAND32024
NewarkMARYLAND32023
NottinghamMARYLAND32024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.