BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Yellow-breasted Chat in Oaks and Prairies has fallen sharply: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-50%Since 1969
37Routes In Region
54Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Yellow-breasted Chat has fallen sharply in Oaks and Prairies: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 31% by 2029 — from 0.32 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.00–0.72). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±67.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2029
0.22Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.7295% range
±67.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.230.000.73
20260.230.000.73
20270.220.000.73
20280.220.000.73
20290.220.000.72

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Oaks and Prairies.
LydiaTEXAS122023
HobsonTEXAS51977
CayugaTEXAS42024
Gambill Ref.TEXAS32024
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA22024
ChoctawOKLAHOMA21979
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA22024
CampbelltonTEXAS22018
Three RiversTEXAS22024
Whit Mtn.TEXAS21995
MegargelTEXAS21997
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA12018
BeggsOKLAHOMA12018
NobleOKLAHOMA12023
BarnsdallOKLAHOMA11976
TatumsOKLAHOMA12021
HeyburnOKLAHOMA12024
SkiatookOKLAHOMA12019
LockhartTEXAS12010
Oak GroveTEXAS11987
GauseTEXAS11976
Massey LakeTEXAS12021
OakwoodTEXAS11979
OlaTEXAS11967
Glen RoseTEXAS11973

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.