Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-breasted Chat In Edwards Plateau
Yellow-breasted Chat in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1970.
17×Since 1970
18Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Yellow-breasted Chat has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 8.6–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+19%Change by 2029
13Projected 2029 index
8.6–1795% range
±12.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 7.7 | 16 |
| 2026 | 12 | 7.9 | 17 |
| 2027 | 13 | 8.2 | 17 |
| 2028 | 13 | 8.4 | 17 |
| 2029 | 13 | 8.6 | 17 |
Routes In Edwards Plateau
| Indian Mtn | TEXAS | 43 | 2024 |
| Montell | TEXAS | 37 | 2024 |
| Utopia | TEXAS | 36 | 2024 |
| Leakey | TEXAS | 28 | 2024 |
| Rockspring | TEXAS | 13 | 2024 |
| Harper | TEXAS | 12 | 2024 |
| Boerne | TEXAS | 3 | 1984 |
| Pidcoke 2 | TEXAS | 3 | 2023 |
| San Saba | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Pidcoke | TEXAS | 2 | 2012 |
| Georgetown | TEXAS | 1 | 1967 |
| Fitzhugh | TEXAS | 1 | 1977 |
| Valley Spgs | TEXAS | 1 | 1987 |
| Kempner | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
| Adamsville | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
| Leander | TEXAS | 1 | 2003 |
| Prairie Mtn. | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
| Allen Creek | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.