Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-breasted Chat In Edwards Plateau

Yellow-breasted Chat in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1970.

17×Since 1970
18Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow-breasted Chat has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 8.6–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+19%Change by 2029
13Projected 2029 index
8.61795% range
±12.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025127.716
2026127.917
2027138.217
2028138.417
2029138.617

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Yellow-breasted Chat in Edwards Plateau.
Indian MtnTEXAS432024
MontellTEXAS372024
UtopiaTEXAS362024
LeakeyTEXAS282024
RockspringTEXAS132024
HarperTEXAS122024
BoerneTEXAS31984
Pidcoke 2TEXAS32023
San SabaTEXAS22024
PidcokeTEXAS22012
GeorgetownTEXAS11967
FitzhughTEXAS11977
Valley SpgsTEXAS11987
KempnerTEXAS12024
AdamsvilleTEXAS12023
LeanderTEXAS12003
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS12024
Allen CreekTEXAS12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.