Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Yellow-breasted Chat In Prairie Potholes
Yellow-breasted Chat in Prairie Potholes has collapsed: down 76% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-76%Since 1969
17Routes In Region
43Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Yellow-breasted Chat has collapsed in Prairie Potholes: down 76% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Yellow-breasted Chat in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±96.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.03Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1295% range
±96.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| 2026 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| 2027 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| 2028 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| 2029 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
Routes In Prairie Potholes
| Britton | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 1970 |
| Big Stone | MINNESOTA | 1 | 1997 |
| Cleveland | MONTANA | 1 | 2024 |
| Harlem | MONTANA | 1 | 2021 |
| Glasgow | MONTANA | 1 | 1979 |
| Redstone | MONTANA | 1 | 2017 |
| Chinook | MONTANA | 1 | 2024 |
| Saco | MONTANA | 1 | 2019 |
| Wolf Point | MONTANA | 1 | 2023 |
| Sparta | NEBRASKA | 1 | 2016 |
| Eagle Creek | NEBRASKA | 1 | 1991 |
| Regan | NORTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2006 |
| Carpio | NORTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 1993 |
| Stanley | NORTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2023 |
| Denbigh | NORTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 1997 |
| Wild Rose | NORTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2006 |
| Powers Lake | NORTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2007 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.