BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wood Duck In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesWaterfowl

Wood Duck in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

13×Since 1969
96Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Wood Duck has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 13× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wood Duck in Prairie Potholes is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.3 (95% range 0.76–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2029
1.3Projected 2029 index
0.76–1.995% range
±33.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.30.681.9
20261.30.701.9
20271.30.721.9
20281.30.741.9
20291.30.761.9

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Wood Duck in Prairie Potholes.
Big StoneMINNESOTA342012
KemptonNORTH-DAKOTA212013
CooperstownNORTH-DAKOTA122023
PantherIOWA112023
ArlingtonMINNESOTA102024
OkleeMINNESOTA101997
Horsehead LkNORTH-DAKOTA92024
BuchananNORTH-DAKOTA82024
RollaNORTH-DAKOTA82024
HartlandMINNESOTA72017
ChandlerMINNESOTA72021
AbercrombieNORTH-DAKOTA72012
MontpelierNORTH-DAKOTA72024
Eagle CreekNEBRASKA62024
FormanNORTH-DAKOTA62024
AppletonMINNESOTA42014
GluekMINNESOTA42018
LakotaNORTH-DAKOTA42006
Douglas CrkNORTH-DAKOTA42015
Turtle MtnsNORTH-DAKOTA42023
HowardSOUTH-DAKOTA42022
WilmotSOUTH-DAKOTA42024
ForbesSOUTH-DAKOTA42024
Chokio NorthMINNESOTA32023
ReganNORTH-DAKOTA32021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.