BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wild Turkey In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertGeneralists

Wild Turkey in Chihuahuan Desert has held roughly steady: down 9% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

-9%Since 1973
19Routes In Region
47Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to rise about 75% by 2029 — from 0.31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.54 (95% range 0.00–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±190.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+75%Change by 2029
0.54Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.295% range
±190.8%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.520.001.1
20260.530.001.1
20270.530.001.2
20280.540.001.2
20290.540.001.2

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Chihuahuan Desert.
CloudcroftNEW-MEXICO82024
CarrizozoNEW-MEXICO62021
Bitter LakeNEW-MEXICO42022
LaborcitaNEW-MEXICO31995
Hot SpringsTEXAS31968
Dove Mtn.TEXAS32004
RoswellNEW-MEXICO22016
LongfellowTEXAS22018
Capitan Mtn.NEW-MEXICO12015
PinonNEW-MEXICO12015
ComstockTEXAS12023
Black GapTEXAS12019
GirvinTEXAS12012
OzonaTEXAS12021
Bear MtnTEXAS12015
Devils R CynTEXAS12023
ToyahvaleTEXAS12024
MarathonTEXAS12019
PumpvilleTEXAS12012

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.