BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wild Turkey In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastGame birds

Wild Turkey in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 99× on the route-weighted index since 1982.

99×Since 1982TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
120Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
44YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast. See the full index history below.

Wild Turkey In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 25% by 2030 — from 1.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.8–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+25%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.8–3.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±21.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to rise about 25% by 2030 — from 1.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.8–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19732030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.21.62.8
20272.21.62.8
20282.31.72.9
20292.31.72.9
20302.41.83.0

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Wild Turkey in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PedricktownNEW-JERSEY132012
PepperboxDELAWARE102016
Cape NeddickMAINE102023
IndiantownMARYLAND102014
E DennisMASSACHUSETTS102019
BrocktonMASSACHUSETTS102019
Six PointsNEW-JERSEY92025
Toms RiverNEW-JERSEY92022
CranburyNEW-JERSEY92025
FredericaDELAWARE72025
HoldenMASSACHUSETTS72025
MillsboroDELAWARE62025
Pepperbox 2DELAWARE62024
CokesburyMARYLAND62025
DoverNEW-HAMPSHIRE62025
EpsomNEW-HAMPSHIRE62024
FriendshipNEW-JERSEY62024
MysticCONNECTICUT52022
HughesvilleMARYLAND52025
MardelaMARYLAND52019
NewarkMARYLAND52025
DavidsnvilleMARYLAND52023
NottinghamMARYLAND52025
WalnutMARYLAND52024
Wallum LakeRHODE-ISLAND52025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.