BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wild Turkey In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontGame birds

Wild Turkey in Piedmont has surged: up 15× on the route-weighted index since 1971.

15×Since 1971TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
130Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
55YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in Piedmont. See the full index history below.

Wild Turkey In Piedmont Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Piedmont is projected to rise about 32% by 2030 — from 0.57 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.75 (95% range 0.53–0.98). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+32%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.75Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.53–0.9895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±54.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Piedmont is projected to rise about 32% by 2030 — from 0.57 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.75 (95% range 0.53–0.98). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.700.470.92
20270.710.490.94
20280.720.500.95
20290.740.510.96
20300.750.530.98

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CampobelloSOUTH-CAROLINA142025
WacoNORTH-CAROLINA92022
ChesneeSOUTH-CAROLINA82015
ElamsvilleVIRGINIA82006
LanettALABAMA72024
Liberty City 2ALABAMA72024
Liberty CityALABAMA62008
Mount JoyPENNSYLVANIA52021
LincolntonGEORGIA42017
BaldwinGEORGIA42021
WashingtonGEORGIA42025
EkloMARYLAND42018
FlayNORTH-CAROLINA42025
AndersonSOUTH-CAROLINA42015
HallVIRGINIA42023
RutledgeGEORGIA32021
BullockNORTH-CAROLINA32025
BendersvillePENNSYLVANIA32018
DavidVIRGINIA32011
AthensGEORGIA22024
BowdonGEORGIA22014
WhitesburgGEORGIA22023
Lincolnton 2GEORGIA22025
Stoney Point 2GEORGIA22025
EarltonMARYLAND22022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.