BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wild Turkey In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauGeneralists

Wild Turkey in Edwards Plateau has increased: up 32% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+32%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
18Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
54YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wild Turkey in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 75% by 2029 — from 2.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 1.2–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±98.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+75%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.5Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.2–5.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±98.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wild Turkey in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 75% by 2029 — from 2.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 1.2–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±98.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20253.30.995.7
20263.41.05.7
20273.41.15.8
20283.51.15.8
20293.51.25.8

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Wild Turkey in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
LeakeyTEXAS72023
Valley SpgsTEXAS62024
RockspringTEXAS62024
MontellTEXAS42024
HarperTEXAS32024
PidcokeTEXAS32016
AdamsvilleTEXAS32024
Dripping SpgTEXAS32024
LeanderTEXAS32000
Allen CreekTEXAS32024
FitzhughTEXAS21973
KempnerTEXAS22024
BoerneTEXAS12024
UtopiaTEXAS12023
San SabaTEXAS12023
Indian MtnTEXAS12023
Pidcoke 2TEXAS12024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.