BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

White-winged Dove In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainGeneralists

White-winged Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain has surged: up 17× on the route-weighted index since 2001.

17×Since 2001TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
28Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
22YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for White-winged Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

White-winged Dove In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 15% by 2030 — from 0.19 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.16 (95% range 0.10–0.22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.16Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.10–0.2295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±31.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 15% by 2030 — from 0.19 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.16 (95% range 0.10–0.22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19972030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.140.070.20
20270.140.080.21
20280.150.080.21
20290.150.090.22
20300.160.100.22

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording White-winged Dove in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
GeorgetownALABAMA172025
Bon SecourALABAMA52023
CitronelleALABAMA52023
St. ElmoALABAMA52025
PerdidoALABAMA42025
Dauphin Is 2ALABAMA32019
GreensburgLOUISIANA32017
WedgeworthALABAMA22025
ElbertaALABAMA22021
Bay MinetteALABAMA22007
Oak GroveFLORIDA22011
Ft Waltn BchFLORIDA22010
Port St JoeFLORIDA21999
HilliardFLORIDA22015
Cross CityFLORIDA22023
Oak Grove 2FLORIDA22025
NecaiseMISSISSIPPI22021
NewtonALABAMA12023
EscatawpaALABAMA12018
Grove HillALABAMA12023
Latham 2ALABAMA12023
SandersonFLORIDA12005
Santa RosaFLORIDA11999
Dowling ParkFLORIDA12025
PinettaFLORIDA12012

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.