BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

White-winged Dove In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

White-winged Dove in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 58× on the route-weighted index since 1977.

58×Since 1977TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
49Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
40YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-winged Dove has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 58× on the route-weighted index since 1977.

White-winged Dove In Oaks and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 30% by 2030 — from 5.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.1 (95% range 2.3–6.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±43.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.1Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.3–6.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±43.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 30% by 2030 — from 5.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.1 (95% range 2.3–6.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±43.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19742030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.81.95.6
20273.92.05.7
20284.02.15.8
20294.02.25.9
20304.12.36.0

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording White-winged Dove in Oaks and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Three RiversTEXAS1892025
Lone OakTEXAS682019
CreedmoreTEXAS322011
OsageTEXAS262021
DallasTEXAS172025
GrafordTEXAS142025
RhomeTEXAS122025
HobsonTEXAS112025
Whit Mtn.TEXAS112019
HearneTEXAS82025
BriteTEXAS72025
ComancheTEXAS62025
Glen RoseTEXAS52025
WeatherfordTEXAS52025
Arenosa CrkTEXAS42019
KosseTEXAS42023
SadlerTEXAS42023
HenriettaTEXAS42022
FanninTEXAS42025
Thornton 3TEXAS42025
CottonwoodTEXAS32024
DikeTEXAS32024
CayugaTEXAS32023
MuldoonTEXAS22014
LockhartTEXAS22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.