BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

White-winged Dove In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauGeneralists

White-winged Dove in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 30× on the route-weighted index since 1978.

30×Since 1978TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
48YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-winged Dove has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 30× on the route-weighted index since 1978.

White-winged Dove In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 14 (95% range 10–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+2%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
14Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
10–1895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±8.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 14 (95% range 10–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19762030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026139.017
2027139.317
2028149.618
2029149.918
2030141018

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording White-winged Dove in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
UtopiaTEXAS402025
Dripping SpgTEXAS372025
BoerneTEXAS262025
LeakeyTEXAS232025
Indian MtnTEXAS212025
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS202025
MontellTEXAS152025
LeanderTEXAS112006
HarperTEXAS102025
San SabaTEXAS72025
Manor 2TEXAS52025
Allen CreekTEXAS52025
RockspringTEXAS52025
AdamsvilleTEXAS32025
Pidcoke 2TEXAS32025
PidcokeTEXAS22017
KempnerTEXAS22025
Valley SpgsTEXAS12025
ManorTEXAS12019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.