BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

White-winged Dove In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauGeneralists

White-winged Dove in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 27× on the route-weighted index since 1978.

27×Since 1978TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
18Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
47YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-winged Dove has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 27× on the route-weighted index since 1978.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 14 (95% range 9.8–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+11%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
14Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
9.8–1895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-winged Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 14 (95% range 9.8–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19762029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025138.617
2026138.917
2027139.217
2028149.518
2029149.818

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording White-winged Dove in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BoerneTEXAS422024
Indian MtnTEXAS292024
Dripping SpgTEXAS262024
UtopiaTEXAS252024
LeakeyTEXAS212024
Allen CreekTEXAS122024
HarperTEXAS112024
LeanderTEXAS112006
MontellTEXAS112024
RockspringTEXAS82024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS52024
Pidcoke 2TEXAS42024
San SabaTEXAS32024
PidcokeTEXAS22017
KempnerTEXAS22017
Valley SpgsTEXAS12024
AdamsvilleTEXAS12024
ManorTEXAS12019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.