BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Western Wood-Pewee Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesAerial insectivores

Western Wood-Pewee in New Mexico has surged: up 182% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+182%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
77Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Western Wood-Pewee Trends in New MexicoNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Western Wood-Pewee has surged in New Mexico: up 182% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Western Wood-Pewee Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Western Wood-Pewee in New Mexico is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 5.1 (95% range 3.1–7.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+3%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.1Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.1–7.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±19%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Western Wood-Pewee in New Mexico is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 5.1 (95% range 3.1–7.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.93.06.9
20275.03.06.9
20285.03.06.9
20295.03.17.0
20305.13.17.0

Western Wood-Pewee Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Western Wood-Pewee in New Mexico.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Gallinas3820251992
Reserve3720251993
Angel Fire 23720252005
Angel Fire1920021992
Bluewater Lake1920211999
Pecos1820171973
Mt. Taylor 21620242014
Cebolla1420231973
Mt. Taylor1320121993
Emory Pass1320251993
Vallecitos1220251994
Cloudcroft1020251975
Pinon820241992
Claunch 2820252001
Dulce820252000
Maxwell820251996
Claunch620001977
La Plata 2620162014
La Plata520131990
Farmington419831975
Ojo Sarco420251968
Fence Lake420251975
Capitan Mtn.420171993
Laborcita 2420252024
Sunshine Wll420252009

Western Wood-Pewee Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoidahokansasmontananebraskanevadanorth-dakotaoklahomaoregonsouth-dakotatexasutahwashingtonwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.