BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Western Kingbird In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieAerial insectivores

Western Kingbird in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-65%Since 1969
69Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Western Kingbird has fallen sharply in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Western Kingbird in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.13 (95% range 0.00–0.29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+10%Change by 2029
0.13Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2995% range
±14.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.140.000.30
20260.130.000.30
20270.130.000.30
20280.130.000.30
20290.130.000.29

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Western Kingbird in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
GretnaNEBRASKA82018
PiersonIOWA72009
Trading PostKANSAS62024
HumboldtKANSAS52021
LincolnvilleKANSAS52023
WashtaIOWA42012
Sioux CityIOWA42023
DoverMISSOURI42013
MurdockNEBRASKA42024
OlatheKANSAS32021
DoverKANSAS32016
LakevilleMINNESOTA31972
IrvingtonNEBRASKA32023
Gretna 2NEBRASKA32022
WelchOKLAHOMA32024
WalesIOWA22000
EllinorKANSAS22022
PittsburgKANSAS22021
Le LoupKANSAS22021
Ash CreekMINNESOTA21985
OhioMISSOURI22018
Sni MillsMISSOURI21985
RockinghamMISSOURI22011
McfallMISSOURI22013
CameronMISSOURI22023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.