Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Western Cattle-Egret In Central Hardwoods

Western Cattle-Egret in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 589% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

+589%Since 1974
33Routes In Region
46Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Western Cattle-Egret has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 589% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 537% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.87 (95% range 0.00–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±91.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+537%Change by 2029
0.87Projected 2029 index
0.002.295% range
±91.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.820.002.1
20260.830.002.1
20270.840.002.2
20280.850.002.2
20290.870.002.2

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Western Cattle-Egret in Central Hardwoods.
Wheeler DamALABAMA5002023
BaronOKLAHOMA292004
JoyKENTUCKY202009
MillersburgINDIANA191998
Iron BridgeKENTUCKY151998
SanduskyILLINOIS142009
RussellARKANSAS122019
GlenTENNESSEE122010
Valhermoso SpgsALABAMA91967
ReedsMISSOURI91995
ElkmontALABAMA82024
CassvilleMISSOURI81994
ColcordOKLAHOMA82005
CourtlandALABAMA62023
Carter GroveALABAMA62019
PulaskiILLINOIS42001
Beaverdam LkILLINOIS42011
ComptonARKANSAS31998
AvocaARKANSAS32009
RudyARKANSAS32015
CantonKENTUCKY32024
PinevilleMISSOURI31992
WhitewaterMISSOURI32024
FultonARKANSAS21995
KeysburgKENTUCKY22001

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.