Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Cattle-Egret In Central Hardwoods
Western Cattle-Egret in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 589% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
+589%Since 1974
33Routes In Region
46Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Western Cattle-Egret has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 589% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 537% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.87 (95% range 0.00–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±91.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+537%Change by 2029
0.87Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.295% range
±91.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.82 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2026 | 0.83 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2027 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2028 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Wheeler Dam | ALABAMA | 500 | 2023 |
| Baron | OKLAHOMA | 29 | 2004 |
| Joy | KENTUCKY | 20 | 2009 |
| Millersburg | INDIANA | 19 | 1998 |
| Iron Bridge | KENTUCKY | 15 | 1998 |
| Sandusky | ILLINOIS | 14 | 2009 |
| Russell | ARKANSAS | 12 | 2019 |
| Glen | TENNESSEE | 12 | 2010 |
| Valhermoso Spgs | ALABAMA | 9 | 1967 |
| Reeds | MISSOURI | 9 | 1995 |
| Elkmont | ALABAMA | 8 | 2024 |
| Cassville | MISSOURI | 8 | 1994 |
| Colcord | OKLAHOMA | 8 | 2005 |
| Courtland | ALABAMA | 6 | 2023 |
| Carter Grove | ALABAMA | 6 | 2019 |
| Pulaski | ILLINOIS | 4 | 2001 |
| Beaverdam Lk | ILLINOIS | 4 | 2011 |
| Compton | ARKANSAS | 3 | 1998 |
| Avoca | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2009 |
| Rudy | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2015 |
| Canton | KENTUCKY | 3 | 2024 |
| Pineville | MISSOURI | 3 | 1992 |
| Whitewater | MISSOURI | 3 | 2024 |
| Fulton | ARKANSAS | 2 | 1995 |
| Keysburg | KENTUCKY | 2 | 2001 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.