Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Bluebird In Great Basin
Western Bluebird in Great Basin has surged: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1970.
11×Since 1970
73Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Western Bluebird has surged in Great Basin: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Western Bluebird in Great Basin is projected to rise about 44% by 2029 — from 0.51 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.73 (95% range 0.50–0.96). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+44%Change by 2029
0.73Projected 2029 index
0.50–0.9695% range
±44.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.69 | 0.46 | 0.91 |
| 2026 | 0.70 | 0.47 | 0.92 |
| 2027 | 0.71 | 0.48 | 0.93 |
| 2028 | 0.72 | 0.49 | 0.94 |
| 2029 | 0.73 | 0.50 | 0.96 |
Routes In Great Basin
| Ellensburg | WASHINGTON | 28 | 2024 |
| Deep Springs | CALIFORNIA | 20 | 1974 |
| Pomeroy | WASHINGTON | 19 | 2024 |
| Carson River | NEVADA | 13 | 2002 |
| Iron Gate | CALIFORNIA | 9 | 2019 |
| Eightmile | OREGON | 9 | 1991 |
| Hackamore | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2010 |
| Fall River Mills | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2011 |
| Jericho Junction | UTAH | 6 | 1997 |
| Ewan 2 | WASHINGTON | 6 | 2023 |
| Tionesta | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2021 |
| Gifford | IDAHO | 4 | 2016 |
| Joel | IDAHO | 4 | 2024 |
| Zumwalt | OREGON | 4 | 2005 |
| Newcastle | UTAH | 4 | 2022 |
| Selah | WASHINGTON | 4 | 2012 |
| Macdoel | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2019 |
| Madeline | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2021 |
| Davis Lake | OREGON | 3 | 2013 |
| Modoc Point 2 | OREGON | 3 | 2024 |
| Pine Creek | UTAH | 3 | 2012 |
| Lake Chelan | WASHINGTON | 3 | 2024 |
| Turnbull Nwr | WASHINGTON | 3 | 2023 |
| Bodie | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2010 |
| Davis Creek | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.