BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Virginia's Warbler Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesForest birds

Virginia's Warbler in New Mexico has increased: up 45% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+45%Since 1970
23Routes In State
56Years

Notable Virginia's Warbler Trends in New Mexico

No notable trend signals for Virginia's Warbler in New Mexico. See the full index history below.

Virginia's Warbler Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Virginia's Warbler in New Mexico is projected to rise about 147% by 2029 — from 0.48 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.39–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±95.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+147%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.39–2.095% range
±95.6%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.10.351.9
20261.20.361.9
20271.20.372.0
20281.20.382.0
20291.20.392.0

Virginia's Warbler Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Virginia's Warbler in New Mexico.
Gallinas1720211992
Cebolla1220231973
Angel Fire1020021992
Vallecitos620241994
Stinking Lk.519991992
Claunch420001980
Dulce420242000
Ojo Sarco320241968
Capulin319931993
Vicks Peak320081996
Emory Pass320241993
Claunch 2320242001
Carrizozo220131977
Pecos120161973
Fence Lake120041977
Angel Fire 2120242005
Cloudcroft120241982
Mt. Taylor 2120242014
Mcgaffey120231997
Mt. Taylor120121993
Reserve120231993
Pinon120161995
Bluewater Lake120151999

Virginia's Warbler Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.