Species · Colorado · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Virginia's Warbler Population Trend in Colorado
Virginia's Warbler in Colorado has surged: up 321% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
+321%Since 1973
65Routes In State
53Years
Notable Virginia's Warbler Trends in Colorado
long arc increasecomputed index
Virginia's Warbler has surged in Colorado: up 321% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Virginia's Warbler Population Forecast in Colorado
If the recent trend holds, Virginia's Warbler in Colorado is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.93–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.5%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-32%Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
0.93–2.395% range
±48.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.5 | 0.85 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 1.6 | 0.87 | 2.2 |
| 2027 | 1.6 | 0.89 | 2.3 |
| 2028 | 1.6 | 0.91 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 1.6 | 0.93 | 2.3 |
Virginia's Warbler Survey Routes in Colorado
| Mesaverde Np | 40 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Baxter Pass | 35 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Douglas Pass | 24 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Yellowjacket Pass | 21 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Angora | 19 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Nucla | 12 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Buford | 10 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Wilson Creek | 10 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Ludlow | 9 | 2016 | 1998 |
| Ragged Mtn. | 8 | 2019 | 1994 |
| Gribbles Prk | 8 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Delta | 7 | 2021 | 1973 |
| Black Sulphur Cr | 7 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Cheesman Lk | 6 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Rosevale | 6 | 2023 | 2009 |
| Cokedale | 6 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Cortez 2 | 5 | 2017 | 2009 |
| Dolores Riv | 5 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Marshall Pas | 5 | 2002 | 1998 |
| Pagosa Spgs | 4 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Wet Mtns. | 4 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Gold Hill | 4 | 2012 | 1998 |
| Haycamp Mesa | 4 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Gold Hill 2 | 3 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Paonia | 3 | 2024 | 1992 |
Virginia's Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.