Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Varied Thrush Population Trend in Oregon
Varied Thrush in Oregon has fallen sharply: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-62%Since 1970
55Routes In State
56Years
Notable Varied Thrush Trends in Oregon
long arc declinecomputed index
Varied Thrush has fallen sharply in Oregon: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Varied Thrush Population Forecast in Oregon
If the recent trend holds, Varied Thrush in Oregon is projected to rise about 209% by 2029 — from 0.72 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 0.60–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±156.5%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+209%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
0.60–3.895% range
±156.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.2 | 0.54 | 3.8 |
| 2026 | 2.2 | 0.55 | 3.8 |
| 2027 | 2.2 | 0.57 | 3.8 |
| 2028 | 2.2 | 0.58 | 3.8 |
| 2029 | 2.2 | 0.60 | 3.8 |
Varied Thrush Survey Routes in Oregon
| Klickitat Mt | 26 | 1996 | 1993 |
| Cool Camp | 22 | 2013 | 1968 |
| Waldport | 21 | 2001 | 1992 |
| Santiam | 20 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Fisher | 20 | 2010 | 1997 |
| Riley Peak | 19 | 2016 | 1994 |
| Myrtle Grove | 14 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Trask Summit | 12 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Clearwater | 11 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Nicolai Mtn. | 10 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Svensen | 9 | 1992 | 1990 |
| Harlan | 8 | 2009 | 2007 |
| Cinderella | 8 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Warner Mtn. | 6 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Joseph | 5 | 1984 | 1982 |
| Molalla | 4 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Winberry | 4 | 2021 | 1968 |
| Fisher 2 | 4 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Blue River | 4 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Shellrock | 3 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Wedderburn | 3 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Scio | 3 | 2004 | 1972 |
| Sandy River | 2 | 1999 | 1993 |
| Scappoose | 2 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Harlan 2 | 2 | 2024 | 2011 |
Varied Thrush Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.