Species · Montana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Varied Thrush Population Trend in Montana
Varied Thrush in Montana has edged up: up 12% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+12%Since 1971
24Routes In State
55Years
Notable Varied Thrush Trends in Montana
No notable trend signals for Varied Thrush in Montana. See the full index history below.
Varied Thrush Population Forecast in Montana
If the recent trend holds, Varied Thrush in Montana is projected to rise about 68% by 2029 — from 0.40 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.67 (95% range 0.00–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±73.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+68%Change by 2029
0.67Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.795% range
±73.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2027 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2028 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
| 2029 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.7 |
Varied Thrush Survey Routes in Montana
| Skalkaho | 19 | 1998 | 1992 |
| Logan Pass | 17 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Whitefish Lake | 11 | 2024 | 2016 |
| St Regis | 3 | 2023 | 1977 |
| Skalkho-Rye | 3 | 2015 | 1999 |
| St Mary | 2 | 1970 | 1970 |
| Victor | 2 | 2011 | 1999 |
| Greenough | 2 | 2002 | 1998 |
| Sula | 2 | 2000 | 1991 |
| Swan Lake | 2 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Noxon | 2 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Libby Dam | 1 | 1988 | 1979 |
| Kalispell | 1 | 1990 | 1984 |
| Threemile Wa | 1 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Polson | 1 | 1989 | 1989 |
| Arlee | 1 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Woodman | 1 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Clinton | 1 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Inside Road | 1 | 2021 | 1990 |
| East Glacier Park | 1 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Thompson Riv | 1 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Ninemile | 1 | 2018 | 1994 |
| Fish Creek | 1 | 2021 | 1995 |
| Painted Rock | 1 | 2016 | 1994 |
Varied Thrush Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.