BirdAnalyst
Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Varied Bunting Population Trend in Arizona

All statesGeneralists

Varied Bunting in Arizona has edged up: up 14% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+14%Since 1971
8Routes In State
51Years

Notable Varied Bunting Trends in Arizona

No notable trend signals for Varied Bunting in Arizona. See the full index history below.

Varied Bunting Population Forecast in Arizona

If the recent trend holds, Varied Bunting in Arizona is projected to fall about 42% by 2029 — from 0.31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.00–0.45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±64.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-42%Change by 2029
0.18Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4595% range
±64.1%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.180.000.44
20260.180.000.44
20270.180.000.44
20280.180.000.45
20290.180.000.45

Varied Bunting Survey Routes in Arizona

Routes recording Varied Bunting in Arizona.
Pomerene720241968
Patagonia420241970
Amado420231999
Peña Blanca320231975
Portal120052005
Redington120212016
Sahuarita120192010
Mcneal120211999

Varied Bunting Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.