BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Turkey Vulture In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieGeneralists

Turkey Vulture in Gulf Coastal Prairie has surged: up 339% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+339%Since 1969
42Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Turkey Vulture has surged in Gulf Coastal Prairie: up 339% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 15 (95% range 10–20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+17%Change by 2029
15Projected 2029 index
10–2095% range
±17.6%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025149.319
2026149.619
2027159.819
2028151020
2029151020

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
McfaddinTEXAS872016
Oyster LakeTEXAS582024
IndianolaTEXAS452024
Goliad PrairieTEXAS422016
WinnieTEXAS382024
GlencoeLOUISIANA272018
San PedroTEXAS262023
Loyola Beach 2TEXAS252024
BaysideTEXAS172010
Bayside 2TEXAS172004
KatyTEXAS162024
Hackberry 2LOUISIANA152024
L. Atascosa NwrTEXAS152023
Loyola BeachTEXAS142009
Sabine Nwr 2LOUISIANA132017
Vinton 2LOUISIANA122024
Bayside 3TEXAS122024
HackberryLOUISIANA112016
JuniorLOUISIANA101991
ChinquapinTEXAS102024
VanderbiltTEXAS91976
Rock IslandTEXAS82024
Moon LakeTEXAS72011
Hinkles FerTEXAS62024
StowellTEXAS62023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.