BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Turkey Vulture In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertGeneralists

Turkey Vulture in Chihuahuan Desert has declined: down 32% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-32%Since 1969
56Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Turkey Vulture in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to rise about 52% by 2029 — from 9.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 14 (95% range 8.2–21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+52%Change by 2029
14Projected 2029 index
8.2–2195% range
±25.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025148.121
2026148.121
2027148.221
2028148.221
2029148.221

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in Chihuahuan Desert.
LongfellowTEXAS772024
OzonaTEXAS582022
Capitan Mtn.NEW-MEXICO462017
ValentineTEXAS431987
Ft. DavisTEXAS352023
ComstockTEXAS312023
Dove Mtn.TEXAS302006
ShafterTEXAS271985
Devils R CynTEXAS252024
Ft. StocktonTEXAS182024
Bear MtnTEXAS162024
LangtryTEXAS162000
CastolonTEXAS152024
CloudcroftNEW-MEXICO142024
PumpvilleTEXAS142024
Quitman Cyn.TEXAS132009
PinonNEW-MEXICO122024
Red RockNEW-MEXICO112024
Sunshine WllNEW-MEXICO112022
ToyahvaleTEXAS112024
Sierra BlancTEXAS112024
AltudaTEXAS102022
PresidioTEXAS102023
QueenNEW-MEXICO92021
MarathonTEXAS92023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.