BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Turkey Vulture In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Turkey Vulture in Peninsular Florida has declined: down 37% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-37%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
80Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Turkey Vulture in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Turkey Vulture In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 7.5 (95% range 3.7–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±43.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+1%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
7.5Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.7–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±43.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 7.5 (95% range 3.7–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±43.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20257.63.711
20267.63.711
20277.63.711
20287.63.711
20297.53.711

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
ScottsmoorFLORIDA542024
Weaver StnFLORIDA372019
Holey LandFLORIDA352024
Wildernes PkFLORIDA322014
PinecrestFLORIDA202024
Devils GardnFLORIDA192024
Mt. OliveFLORIDA192024
TamiamiFLORIDA171974
ShawanoFLORIDA172002
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA152024
Dale MabryFLORIDA131988
BelmoreFLORIDA132024
MabelFLORIDA132011
Mabel 2FLORIDA132019
FlamingoFLORIDA122024
Babcock RnchFLORIDA121990
AndytownFLORIDA111998
PalmdaleFLORIDA102023
Indiantown 2FLORIDA102024
KendallFLORIDA91991
Sugarloaf KeyFLORIDA82004
ChildsFLORIDA72022
KenansvilleFLORIDA72024
SalvistaFLORIDA71979
BrowardFLORIDA71972

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.