BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Turkey Vulture In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsGeneralists

Turkey Vulture in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 330% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+330%Since 1968
384Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Turkey Vulture has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 330% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.4 (95% range 3.7–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-9%Change by 2029
4.4Projected 2029 index
3.7–5.295% range
±12%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.23.45.0
20264.23.55.0
20274.33.55.1
20284.43.65.2
20294.43.75.2

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in Appalachian Mountains.
StonecreekOHIO702024
VirginiaPENNSYLVANIA522024
SpencerWEST-VIRGINIA362023
ArnotPENNSYLVANIA352024
CovingtonVIRGINIA352024
N Pine GrovePENNSYLVANIA312024
Rural RetrtVIRGINIA302024
HarbuckTENNESSEE282001
MiddletownPENNSYLVANIA232024
OteenNORTH-CAROLINA222024
RoulettePENNSYLVANIA212017
WyalusingPENNSYLVANIA212024
EdinburgVIRGINIA192024
NewbernVIRGINIA191979
KymulgaALABAMA182024
SaltvilleVIRGINIA172024
DrydenVIRGINIA172024
Pt PleasantWEST-VIRGINIA172023
DresdenOHIO162024
ClendeninWEST-VIRGINIA162024
StevensonALABAMA152024
OmegaOHIO152024
CoshoctonOHIO151991
Star TanneryVIRGINIA152024
Sugar GroveWEST-VIRGINIA152024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.