Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Turkey Vulture In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
Turkey Vulture in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 20× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
20×Since 1968
271Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Turkey Vulture has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 20× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 9.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.0 (95% range 5.9–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-17%Change by 2029
8.0Projected 2029 index
5.9–1095% range
±27.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.4 | 5.3 | 9.5 |
| 2026 | 7.5 | 5.4 | 9.7 |
| 2027 | 7.7 | 5.6 | 9.8 |
| 2028 | 7.8 | 5.7 | 9.9 |
| 2029 | 8.0 | 5.9 | 10 |
Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie
| New Point | MISSOURI | 98 | 2024 |
| Frankford | MISSOURI | 80 | 2024 |
| Jamestown | INDIANA | 54 | 2024 |
| Bedford | IOWA | 54 | 2018 |
| Lapland | KANSAS | 54 | 2022 |
| Terre Haute | ILLINOIS | 49 | 2024 |
| Belleview | ILLINOIS | 49 | 2024 |
| Sexton | INDIANA | 48 | 2024 |
| Decatur | INDIANA | 45 | 2024 |
| Kunkle | OHIO | 45 | 2024 |
| No Kenton | OHIO | 42 | 2024 |
| Trading Post | KANSAS | 40 | 2024 |
| Lucerne | MISSOURI | 40 | 2021 |
| Concord | ILLINOIS | 35 | 2024 |
| Columbia | ILLINOIS | 31 | 2024 |
| Bradbury | ILLINOIS | 30 | 2024 |
| Barclay | KANSAS | 28 | 2024 |
| Fulton | OHIO | 28 | 2024 |
| Galveston | INDIANA | 27 | 2024 |
| Frankfort | INDIANA | 26 | 2022 |
| Mcfall | MISSOURI | 26 | 2024 |
| Brookville | INDIANA | 25 | 2024 |
| Trenton | MISSOURI | 25 | 2024 |
| Rock Creek 2 | KANSAS | 23 | 2024 |
| Queen City | MISSOURI | 23 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.