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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Turkey Vulture In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauBirds of prey

Turkey Vulture in Edwards Plateau has held roughly steady: down 4% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-4%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
21Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Turkey Vulture in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Turkey Vulture In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 37% by 2030 — from 20 in 2025 to a central estimate of 27 (95% range 16–39). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+37%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
27Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
16–3995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±42.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 37% by 2030 — from 20 in 2025 to a central estimate of 27 (95% range 16–39). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026271639
2027271639
2028271639
2029271639
2030271639

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Indian MtnTEXAS522025
RockspringTEXAS402025
GeorgetownTEXAS331985
HarperTEXAS332025
LeakeyTEXAS322025
MontellTEXAS242025
Pidcoke 2TEXAS232025
Allen CreekTEXAS212025
Manor 2TEXAS172025
BoerneTEXAS162025
Valley SpgsTEXAS132025
KempnerTEXAS132025
San SabaTEXAS122025
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS122025
LeanderTEXAS112006
ManorTEXAS102024
PidcokeTEXAS92017
Dripping SpgTEXAS92025
FitzhughTEXAS71983
UtopiaTEXAS42025
AdamsvilleTEXAS12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.