BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Turkey Vulture In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesGeneralists

Turkey Vulture in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 676% on the route-weighted index since 1991.

+676%Since 1991
68Routes In Region
33Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Turkey Vulture has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 676% on the route-weighted index since 1991.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Turkey Vulture in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.53 (95% range 0.30–0.76). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-1%Change by 2029
0.53Projected 2029 index
0.30–0.7695% range
±29.1%Backtest error
19872029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.470.240.70
20260.490.260.72
20270.500.270.73
20280.520.290.75
20290.530.300.76

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Turkey Vulture in Prairie Potholes.
BadgerMINNESOTA132017
MccallsburgIOWA102024
ScrantonIOWA62024
StanleyNORTH-DAKOTA62024
BeltramiMINNESOTA52024
Wolf PointMONTANA52018
ForbesSOUTH-DAKOTA52023
WashingtonIOWA32024
ZearingIOWA31995
ClareIOWA32013
SacoMONTANA32017
Eagle CreekNEBRASKA32018
ArlingtonMINNESOTA22021
MaynardMINNESOTA22015
GlyndonMINNESOTA22019
TenneyMINNESOTA22016
FairmontMINNESOTA22021
TracyMINNESOTA22023
RedstoneMONTANA22010
PoncaNEBRASKA22024
ReganNORTH-DAKOTA22022
BraddockNORTH-DAKOTA22021
Abercrombie 2NORTH-DAKOTA22017
HowardSOUTH-DAKOTA22021
PantherIOWA12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.