BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Tufted Titmouse In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Gulf Coastal Prairie has declined: down 42% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-42%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
30Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Tufted Titmouse in Gulf Coastal Prairie. See the full index history below.

Tufted Titmouse In Gulf Coastal Prairie Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.00–4.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-22%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–4.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±22.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.00–4.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.90.004.9
20261.90.004.9
20271.90.004.9
20281.90.004.9
20291.80.004.9

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
LafitteLOUISIANA351991
Moon Lake 2TEXAS112024
VanderbiltTEXAS101970
Moon LakeTEXAS102011
Hackberry 2LOUISIANA92024
VintonLOUISIANA82009
Hinkles FerTEXAS62024
EstherLOUISIANA52024
RichardLOUISIANA52024
Vinton 2LOUISIANA42024
JuniorLOUISIANA31991
Ville PlatteLOUISIANA32019
KatyTEXAS32024
McfaddinTEXAS32016
Gran ChenierLOUISIANA21981
MamouLOUISIANA21968
WinnieTEXAS22024
DanburyTEXAS22024
ChinquapinTEXAS22023
Oyster LakeTEXAS22024
HackberryLOUISIANA12014
GlencoeLOUISIANA12018
MauriceLOUISIANA12000
KaplanLOUISIANA12022
Ltl ChenierLOUISIANA12015

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.