BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Tufted Titmouse In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Gulf Coastal Prairie has declined: down 36% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-36%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
30Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Tufted Titmouse in Gulf Coastal Prairie. See the full index history below.

Tufted Titmouse In Gulf Coastal Prairie Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to fall about 33% by 2030 — from 2.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 0.00–4.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-33%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–4.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±21.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to fall about 33% by 2030 — from 2.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 0.00–4.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.00.005.0
20271.90.005.0
20281.90.004.9
20291.90.004.9
20301.90.004.9

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
LafitteLOUISIANA351991
Hinkles FerTEXAS192025
Moon Lake 2TEXAS182025
VanderbiltTEXAS101970
Moon LakeTEXAS102011
VintonLOUISIANA82009
Hackberry 2LOUISIANA72025
EstherLOUISIANA52024
Vinton 2LOUISIANA52025
JuniorLOUISIANA31991
Ville PlatteLOUISIANA32019
DanburyTEXAS32025
Rock IslandTEXAS32025
McfaddinTEXAS32016
Gran ChenierLOUISIANA21981
MamouLOUISIANA21968
KatyTEXAS22025
HackberryLOUISIANA12014
GlencoeLOUISIANA12018
MauriceLOUISIANA12000
KaplanLOUISIANA12022
RichardLOUISIANA12025
Ltl ChenierLOUISIANA12015
WoodlawnLOUISIANA12014
Forked IslandLOUISIANA12019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.