BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Tufted Titmouse In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Peninsular Florida has surged: up 142% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+142%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
57Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has surged in Peninsular Florida: up 142% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Tufted Titmouse In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 8.8–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
12Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
8.8–1695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 8.8–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025128.215
2026128.415
2027128.515
2028128.616
2029128.816

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
NobletonFLORIDA632024
CroomFLORIDA592024
Island GroveFLORIDA582024
CitrusFLORIDA472024
Mt. OliveFLORIDA452024
BelmoreFLORIDA422024
MicanopyFLORIDA381991
San AntonioFLORIDA342024
ChassahowitzFLORIDA332024
Citrus ParkFLORIDA322024
Green SwampFLORIDA302024
RomeoFLORIDA292024
GoetheFLORIDA282024
St AugustineFLORIDA242024
MabelFLORIDA232011
FlemingtonFLORIDA211999
Polk CityFLORIDA182024
PinecrestFLORIDA182024
Mabel 2FLORIDA182019
OcalaFLORIDA182024
ScottsmoorFLORIDA172024
KenansvilleFLORIDA152024
AripekaFLORIDA152023
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA142024
Ft MccoyFLORIDA122024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.