BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Tufted Titmouse In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Peninsular Florida has surged: up 177% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+177%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
57Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has surged in Peninsular Florida: up 177% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Tufted Titmouse In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 25% by 2030 — from 17 in 2025 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 9.1–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-25%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
9.1–1695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±21.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 25% by 2030 — from 17 in 2025 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 9.1–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026128.516
2027128.616
2028128.816
2029138.916
2030139.116

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CitrusFLORIDA582025
NobletonFLORIDA512025
CroomFLORIDA502025
Island GroveFLORIDA442025
BelmoreFLORIDA422024
MicanopyFLORIDA381991
Mt. OliveFLORIDA382025
GoetheFLORIDA362025
San AntonioFLORIDA342025
RomeoFLORIDA302025
ChassahowitzFLORIDA282025
Ft MccoyFLORIDA272025
Citrus ParkFLORIDA272025
OcalaFLORIDA252025
MabelFLORIDA232011
St AugustineFLORIDA222025
Mabel 2FLORIDA222025
FlemingtonFLORIDA211999
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA162025
Pleasant Grove 2FLORIDA152025
Green SwampFLORIDA152025
Polk CityFLORIDA142025
PinecrestFLORIDA142025
Winter GardnFLORIDA112019
GardnerFLORIDA111999

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.