BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Tufted Titmouse In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontForest birds

Tufted Titmouse in Piedmont has surged: up 189% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+189%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
169Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Tufted Titmouse has surged in Piedmont: up 189% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Tufted Titmouse In Piedmont Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 24 (95% range 20–28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-1%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
24Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
20–2895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±19.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Tufted Titmouse in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 24 (95% range 20–28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026231927
2027231927
2028232027
2029242028
2030242028

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Tufted Titmouse in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
OlneyMARYLAND722025
IjamsvilleMARYLAND622025
Nixburg 2ALABAMA532025
AthensGEORGIA492025
YoungsvilleNORTH-CAROLINA482025
RutledgeGEORGIA472025
FairplayGEORGIA461991
RidgewaySOUTH-CAROLINA432025
Liberty City 2ALABAMA422025
CandlerGEORGIA422025
Lincolnton 2GEORGIA412025
Piedmont NwrGEORGIA402003
EmmitsburgMARYLAND402025
Owings 2SOUTH-CAROLINA392025
BullockNORTH-CAROLINA382025
CrestGEORGIA372025
Sunny SideGEORGIA372019
Mcginnis CrossroadNORTH-CAROLINA352022
Little MtnSOUTH-CAROLINA351988
Good HopeGEORGIA342025
SheffieldNORTH-CAROLINA342025
ChesneeSOUTH-CAROLINA342015
HollonvilleGEORGIA332003
JordanNORTH-CAROLINA332025
WhitesburgGEORGIA322025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.