Species · Wyoming · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Thick-billed Longspur Population Trend in Wyoming
Thick-billed Longspur in Wyoming has surged: up 192% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+192%Since 1970
38Routes In State
56Years
Notable Thick-billed Longspur Trends in Wyoming
long arc increasecomputed index
Thick-billed Longspur has surged in Wyoming: up 192% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Thick-billed Longspur Population Forecast in Wyoming
If the recent trend holds, Thick-billed Longspur in Wyoming is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.18–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+17%Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
0.18–3.095% range
±40%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.5 | 0.13 | 3.0 |
| 2026 | 1.6 | 0.14 | 3.0 |
| 2027 | 1.6 | 0.16 | 3.0 |
| 2028 | 1.6 | 0.17 | 3.0 |
| 2029 | 1.6 | 0.18 | 3.0 |
Thick-billed Longspur Survey Routes in Wyoming
| Shirley | 65 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Rock River | 60 | 2022 | 1990 |
| Harmony | 53 | 2023 | 1982 |
| Cheyenne | 30 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Pine Tree | 26 | 1995 | 1980 |
| Buford | 21 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Piney | 19 | 1990 | 1982 |
| Savageton | 16 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Sweetwater | 12 | 2009 | 1981 |
| Lusk | 11 | 2023 | 1991 |
| Newcastle | 10 | 1988 | 1988 |
| Glenrock | 9 | 1977 | 1968 |
| Shawnee | 7 | 2015 | 1999 |
| Otto | 6 | 1974 | 1974 |
| Rozet | 5 | 1991 | 1991 |
| Yoder | 5 | 1971 | 1969 |
| Clark | 3 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Harland Flat | 3 | 1995 | 1990 |
| Natrona | 2 | 1986 | 1973 |
| Seely 2 | 2 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Patrick Draw 5 | 2 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Upton | 2 | 1989 | 1988 |
| Patrick Draw 4 | 2 | 2002 | 2002 |
| Rock Springs | 2 | 1978 | 1978 |
| Chugwater | 2 | 2024 | 2024 |
Thick-billed Longspur Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.