BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Swainson's Hawk In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Swainson's Hawk in Oaks and Prairies has held roughly steady: down 9% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-9%Since 1969
51Routes In Region
55Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Swainson's Hawk in Oaks and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Swainson's Hawk in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 75% by 2029 — from 0.15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.26 (95% range 0.00–0.62). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±348.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+75%Change by 2029
0.26Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6295% range
±348.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.260.000.62
20260.260.000.62
20270.260.000.62
20280.260.000.62
20290.260.000.62

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Swainson's Hawk in Oaks and Prairies.
LocoOKLAHOMA31979
E GeorgetownTEXAS21977
OlneyTEXAS22022
WalburgTEXAS22018
Mount ZionTEXAS22004
YoakumTEXAS22019
DuranTEXAS21999
PaigeTEXAS22024
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA12011
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA11968
ChoctawOKLAHOMA12001
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA11967
TatumsOKLAHOMA12006
HeyburnOKLAHOMA12022
DuncanOKLAHOMA12010
HobsonTEXAS11988
CampbelltonTEXAS12019
MuldoonTEXAS12018
LockhartTEXAS11983
Lone OakTEXAS12019
KosseTEXAS12018
OsageTEXAS11988
OlaTEXAS12006
DallasTEXAS12013
Glen RoseTEXAS12012

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.