BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Spotted Towhee In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesGeneralists

Spotted Towhee in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 112% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+112%Since 1969
25Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Spotted Towhee has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 112% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Spotted Towhee in Prairie Potholes is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 0.51 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.35 (95% range 0.12–0.58). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2029
0.35Projected 2029 index
0.12–0.5895% range
±31.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.340.110.57
20260.340.110.57
20270.350.120.58
20280.350.120.58
20290.350.120.58

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Spotted Towhee in Prairie Potholes.
ClevelandMONTANA162024
SpartaNEBRASKA82021
Wolf PointMONTANA62024
RedstoneMONTANA52024
GlasgowMONTANA42024
CarpioNORTH-DAKOTA42023
StanleyNORTH-DAKOTA42024
MidwayNEBRASKA32023
ChinookMONTANA22019
ReganNORTH-DAKOTA22022
LoraineNORTH-DAKOTA22016
TrippSOUTH-DAKOTA22013
VirgelleMONTANA11993
HarlemMONTANA12021
MaltaMONTANA12018
Great FallsMONTANA11973
WhitlashMONTANA12022
SacoMONTANA12023
LambertMONTANA12022
Eagle CreekNEBRASKA12024
TildenNEBRASKA12022
Douglas CrkNORTH-DAKOTA12021
GeddesSOUTH-DAKOTA12021
LaneSOUTH-DAKOTA11968
Crow CreekSOUTH-DAKOTA12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.