BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Song Sparrow In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesGeneralists

Song Sparrow in Prairie Potholes has risen sharply: up 69% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+69%Since 1969
117Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Song Sparrow has risen sharply in Prairie Potholes: up 69% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Song Sparrow in Prairie Potholes is projected to rise about 62% by 2029 — from 9.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 9.9–22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±65.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+62%Change by 2029
16Projected 2029 index
9.9–2295% range
±65.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025159.321
2026159.421
2027159.621
2028169.722
2029169.922

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Song Sparrow in Prairie Potholes.
Turtle MtnsNORTH-DAKOTA622024
ZearingIOWA481995
KemptonNORTH-DAKOTA402017
EmeradoNORTH-DAKOTA372024
OkleeMINNESOTA362021
LoraineNORTH-DAKOTA342019
Lake BronsonMINNESOTA322011
NashNORTH-DAKOTA292017
GarnerIOWA281993
BeltramiMINNESOTA262024
LakotaNORTH-DAKOTA262009
HuntleyMINNESOTA252024
BrittonSOUTH-DAKOTA252023
BuchananNORTH-DAKOTA242024
Big StoneMINNESOTA232012
ForbesSOUTH-DAKOTA232024
BadgerMINNESOTA222018
CooperstownNORTH-DAKOTA222024
WylieMINNESOTA212024
GryglaMINNESOTA212017
ClevelandMONTANA212024
Sheyenne LkNORTH-DAKOTA212024
HowardSOUTH-DAKOTA212024
FormanNORTH-DAKOTA202024
Horsehead LkNORTH-DAKOTA202024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.