BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertAerial insectivores

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Chihuahuan Desert has edged down: down 20% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-20%Since 1969
20Routes In Region
54Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to rise about 103% by 2029 — from 0.59 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.37–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+103%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.37–2.095% range
±31.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.20.342.0
20261.20.352.0
20271.20.352.0
20281.20.362.0
20291.20.372.0

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Chihuahuan Desert.
MarathonTEXAS122023
AltudaTEXAS112023
GirvinTEXAS62024
LongfellowTEXAS52024
OzonaTEXAS52022
Ft. StocktonTEXAS32024
Coyanda DrawTEXAS32017
RoswellNEW-MEXICO22023
ComstockTEXAS22021
PumpvilleTEXAS22024
LakewoodNEW-MEXICO12017
Bitter LakeNEW-MEXICO12023
ValentineTEXAS11982
Delaware CrkTEXAS11972
Bear MtnTEXAS12014
LangtryTEXAS12000
Devils R CynTEXAS12024
ToyahvaleTEXAS12017
MarfaTEXAS12018
Ft. DavisTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.