BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Scarlet Tanager In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieGeneralists

Scarlet Tanager in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has risen sharply: up 73% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+73%Since 1968
196Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Scarlet Tanager has risen sharply in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 73% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Scarlet Tanager in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 20% by 2029 — from 0.21 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.25 (95% range 0.15–0.35). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+20%Change by 2029
0.25Projected 2029 index
0.15–0.3595% range
±34.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.240.140.34
20260.240.150.34
20270.240.150.34
20280.250.150.34
20290.250.150.35

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Scarlet Tanager in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
HarveysburgOHIO41995
BarringtonILLINOIS31995
WallaceINDIANA32024
Witts StationINDIANA32024
HuntsvilleMISSOURI32024
New PointMISSOURI32007
River FallsWISCONSIN32016
PutnamILLINOIS22004
DaileyILLINOIS22021
MelroseILLINOIS21995
PawneeILLINOIS22018
JanesvilleILLINOIS22023
MiddletownINDIANA22002
FriendswoodINDIANA22024
OlatheKANSAS22007
FrontenacMINNESOTA22023
FilleyMISSOURI21982
KahokaMISSOURI21986
SticklervillMISSOURI22016
TarkioMISSOURI21979
GildehouseMISSOURI21985
UnionMISSOURI21999
BloomvilleOHIO22024
FultonOHIO22023
WilmingtonOHIO21989

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.