BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Scarlet Tanager In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestGeneralists

Scarlet Tanager in Atlantic Northern Forest has declined: down 35% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-35%Since 1968
152Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Scarlet Tanager in Atlantic Northern Forest. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Scarlet Tanager in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 44% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.14–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-44%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.14–2.795% range
±23.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.60.342.9
20261.60.292.8
20271.50.242.8
20281.50.192.7
20291.40.142.7

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Scarlet Tanager in Atlantic Northern Forest.
MontereyMASSACHUSETTS122024
MarlboroVERMONT122024
NorthfieldMAINE81981
N OrangeMASSACHUSETTS82024
PittsfieldMASSACHUSETTS82016
SheffieldMASSACHUSETTS82022
PeterboroughNEW-HAMPSHIRE72024
CanterburyNEW-HAMPSHIRE72024
WalpoleNEW-HAMPSHIRE72024
MarlowNEW-HAMPSHIRE72024
GlenNEW-HAMPSHIRE72024
New HartfordCONNECTICUT61987
CambridgeMAINE62008
Horseshoe L.NEW-YORK62017
WatervilleVERMONT61980
CummingtonMASSACHUSETTS52014
Cummington 2MASSACHUSETTS52024
FitzwilliamNEW-HAMPSHIRE52024
HopkintonNEW-HAMPSHIRE52024
North RiverNEW-YORK52007
Tupper LakeNEW-YORK51976
StrattonVERMONT52024
BenedictaMAINE41980
Grnd Lk StrmMAINE41992
CheshireMASSACHUSETTS41994

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.