Species · BCR 4 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Say's Phoebe In BCR 4
Say's Phoebe in BCR 4 has collapsed: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
-95%Since 1983
22Routes In Region
35Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Say's Phoebe has collapsed in BCR 4: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Say's Phoebe in BCR 4 is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1272.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.195% range
±1272.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
Routes In BCR 4
| Chistochina | ALASKA | 6 | 2008 |
| Tangle Lakes | ALASKA | 4 | 1987 |
| Skilak Lake | ALASKA | 3 | 1983 |
| Ft. Richrdsn | ALASKA | 3 | 2010 |
| Eagle | ALASKA | 2 | 2017 |
| Chatanika R | ALASKA | 2 | 2019 |
| Birch Lake | ALASKA | 2 | 2021 |
| Homer | ALASKA | 2 | 1978 |
| Mt. Fairplay | ALASKA | 2 | 2010 |
| Northway | ALASKA | 1 | 2017 |
| Maclaren | ALASKA | 1 | 2021 |
| Monahan | ALASKA | 1 | 2003 |
| Cantwell | ALASKA | 1 | 2014 |
| Toklat | ALASKA | 1 | 2008 |
| Chena Hot Sp | ALASKA | 1 | 1990 |
| Sourdough | ALASKA | 1 | 2008 |
| Chicken | ALASKA | 1 | 2024 |
| Hatcher Pass | ALASKA | 1 | 2023 |
| Burma Road | ALASKA | 1 | 1999 |
| Coldfoot | ALASKA | 1 | 2021 |
| Kuskulana | ALASKA | 1 | 1994 |
| Mccarthy Rd2 | ALASKA | 1 | 1996 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.