BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Say's Phoebe In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieAerial insectivores

Say's Phoebe in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has risen sharply: up 52% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+52%Since 1969
44Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Say's Phoebe has risen sharply in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 52% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Say's Phoebe in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 65% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.05–0.39). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±200%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+65%Change by 2029
0.22Projected 2029 index
0.05–0.3995% range
±200%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.210.050.38
20260.220.050.38
20270.220.050.39
20280.220.050.39
20290.220.050.39

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Say's Phoebe in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
StrattonNEBRASKA62024
BeaverOKLAHOMA62018
BrownleeNEBRASKA41996
LakeviewTEXAS41995
AshlandKANSAS32021
Jewell 2KANSAS22009
BradyNEBRASKA22017
Berwyn 2NEBRASKA22015
BookerTEXAS22008
St JohnKANSAS12004
CoatsKANSAS11989
ColdwaterKANSAS12011
AlbertKANSAS11996
GrayKANSAS12018
HaysKANSAS12005
LeovilleKANSAS12018
CovertKANSAS12024
JewellKANSAS12005
PhillipsburgKANSAS11998
LoganKANSAS12010
GoveKANSAS12022
MisslerKANSAS12019
DamarKANSAS12003
RexfordKANSAS12023
SumnerNEBRASKA12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.