BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Sandhill Crane In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaWetland birds

Sandhill Crane in Peninsular Florida has surged: up 237% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+237%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
67Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Sandhill Crane has surged in Peninsular Florida: up 237% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Sandhill Crane In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Sandhill Crane in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 13% by 2030 — from 5.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.6 (95% range 3.5–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+13%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.6Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.5–7.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±36%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Sandhill Crane in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 13% by 2030 — from 5.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.6 (95% range 3.5–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20265.43.27.5
20275.43.37.5
20285.53.47.6
20295.63.47.7
20305.63.57.7

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Sandhill Crane in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Mabel 2FLORIDA242025
MabelFLORIDA212011
Pennywash CrFLORIDA182024
Punta GordaFLORIDA162012
San AntonioFLORIDA142025
KenansvilleFLORIDA142025
Lake BuffumFLORIDA132024
Ridge HarborFLORIDA132025
AripekaFLORIDA122025
GardnerFLORIDA101999
CroomFLORIDA102025
WebbFLORIDA102025
IndiantownFLORIDA92017
Pleasant Grove 2FLORIDA92025
Island GroveFLORIDA82025
Polk CityFLORIDA72025
Sunniland GrFLORIDA72021
DeanvilleFLORIDA72019
NobletonFLORIDA72023
CrewsvilleFLORIDA72025
MicanopyFLORIDA61988
AlturasFLORIDA61986
St LucieFLORIDA62025
Devils GardnFLORIDA62025
AlvaFLORIDA62023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.